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Back to Edexcel Mathematics Paper 2 Sample Assessment Home 
Paper 2 Higher - Sample Assessment Q12 Answers
12) A and B are two sets of traffic lights on a road.

The probability that a car is stopped by lights A is 0.4

If a car is stopped by lights A, then the probability that the car is not stopped by lights B is 0.7

If a car is not stopped by lights A, then the probability that the car is not stopped by lights B is 0.2

(a) Complete the probability tree diagram for this information
​(2 marks)
Picture
Mark drove along this road.
He was stopped by just one of the sets of traffic lights.

(b) Is it more likely that he was stopped by lights A or by lights B?
You must show your working.
(2 marks)

​ (Total for Question 12 is 5 marks)

Answers
Question
Answer
Notes
12 a
0.4,0.6
​0.3,0.7,0.8,0.2

B1 - correctly placing probs for light A eg 0.4, 0.6 
​
B1 - correctly placing probs for light B eg 0.3, 0.7, 0.8, 0.2 
12 b
B with correct probabilities
P1 - (ft) eg 0.4 × 0.3 or 0.6 × 0.8 or 1−(0.28+0.12)P1 - both sets of correct probability calculations
C1 - Correct interpretation of results with correct comparable results 

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